TALK of shifting sands in the opinion polls is as good excuse as any to stroll down to the bookmakers and look in the window once more. Remember, gambling is bad. Keep the money and buy your mum some flowers instead. Or something.
But. But. But. A quick check out of curiosity at the Ladbrokes odds shows that Ed Fordham still has his nose in front with the bookmakers in Hampstead and Kilburn, the price at midnight last night was quoted at 5/4. But it’s a close run thing. Chris Philp is a very close second on odds of 7/4. Glenda hasn’t made much progress at 5/2, and, look, there’s a new name: 25-1 Tamsin Omond, the independent. I’m not sure what you do if you want to bet on Beatrix Campbell, the Green.
Perhaps more interesting at this stage (Fordham has been the narrow favourite at Ladbrokes for a while, no new news here) is what is going on in Islington South and what looks like more good news for the Lib Dems. If you take the bookies as a barometer, the suggestion here is that Bridget Fox is now in pole position to take the scalp of Labour’s Emily Thornberry. What is significant about Fox’s advance is that if she wins – and as expected, the General election and the local elections are held on the same day – the same wave of support that takes her to Parliament should be enough to keep the Lib Dems in power at Islington Town Hall. There are important wards in the south of that borough which will not only decide who gets to the Commons, but also who is residence in leader Terry Stacy’s lovely Town Hall office after May.