Crosby to gee up Coleman campaign

SURELY Brian Coleman has nothing to worry about in holding onto Barnet and Camden at the not-too-distant London Authority elections? Has he?

As Labour work out who is best placed to take him on – Lucy Anderson and Nicky Gavron failed to do too much damage in recent tries – the Conservatives are doing their best not to be complacent. And as such, strategist Lynton Crosby will turn up to a branch meeting to herald the start of his re-election campaign at the end of the month. I’ve been told he will brief party activists on what they must work on to avoid any avoidable slip-ups.

One of the nagging concerns for Team Brian is the possibility of a Liberal Democrat collapse and the worry that left-leaning voters who felt conned by the forming of a coalition with the Tories might switch to Labour in protest.

That said, the Lib Dems in Camden at least have polled better in council elections and in the Hampstead and Kilburn general election battle than they ever do in London ballots (they often blame poor mayoral candidates for that). That means the numbers still might not add up for Andrew Dismore, Tom Copley, Neil Nerva or whoever else takes up the uphill challenge of felling Coleman.

No nonsense Crosby is credited with masterminding Boris Johnson’s victory over Ken Livingstone, having come to Britain following successful election campaigns for John Howard – the former Prime Minister in his native Australia.

5 Comments on Crosby to gee up Coleman campaign

  1. Sarah Hayward // March 22, 2011 at 2:27 pm // Reply

    There’s no doubt a near 6% swing in Barnet and Camden is a challenge for Labour. But it’s certainly within election victory margins in the past – and not at the astonishing level.

    The local elections in May, will give us some better data with which to judge our success chances in individual GLA seats – particularly against Conservatives.

    But the Lib Dem collapse thing is a bit of a red herring in the context of this election. Their vote gets squeezed anyway by the mayoralty being viewed as a straight red/blue fight. This filters down to the seats and to a much lesser extent the lists.

    If Labour is to win it will be on a well run, active campaign, by a candidate who can motivate volunteers to get out delivering and talking to voters.

    We’ve all seen the impact Tom Copley (who also has a website) has had in Camden and beyond.

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    • Richard Osley // March 22, 2011 at 3:39 pm // Reply

      Ah Tom’s campaign manager..

      As said in the post, the Lib Dems poor polling in the mayoralty means a ‘collapse’ would not necessarily swing it one way or the other. It will be interesting to see which candidates are on the starting grid when it kicks off properly.

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  2. Sarah Hayward // March 22, 2011 at 2:28 pm // Reply

    PS note you’ve reverted your layout. Why?

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    • Richard Osley // March 22, 2011 at 3:40 pm // Reply

      This blog has been up and running for 18 months – and although it has taken off in a way I hadn’t expected, it’s always good to have a look at refreshing things. Maybe a few changes later in the year.

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  3. Constantine Buhayer // March 23, 2011 at 1:29 am // Reply

    If Labour wants a sure defeat, they should opt for Andrew Dismore. His self-congratulatory and opportunistic pronouncements will make most of us bulimic (apologies to anyone suffering from the condition).
    Is there really no one in Camden and Barnet Labour above the Dismore low-tide?
    It would be wonderful to see the back of Mr Coleman so please someone get serious.

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