The BBC report that the Tories will wish they could play on repeat

collage2RUMOUR has it that Team Tulip is feeling a little hard done by after the BBC zoned a special report in on Hampstead and Kilburn, but went hard and long on a) the intrigue that we should take from the 2010 result which left a 42 crumb Labour majority on the slate and b) her party’s recent fire-fighting on the mansion tax in the constituency. During a segment on the London bit of the Sunday Politics, there were also plenty of scratches at whether Ed Miliband is dawdling around in a Hampstead Heath day-dream, a hangover from his bungled conference speech last Autumn.

Tulip didn’t get the chance to defend her leader – if she did, it was cut – and we saw her for little more than a minute as she frantically defended the mansion tax outside her Kilburn High Road poster shop. She was more or less drowned out as the report switched between Simon Marcus masterfully wheeling around the village in his Hampstead Man sheep-and-pig pilot’s coat, drinking coffee authoritively and messaging that the mansion tax is a tax on envy, and Maajid Nawaz looking scholarly in an office somewhere.

In between, for good measure, the Beeb’s reporter repeatedly mentioned the slim majority, which of course may only be relevant if the Lib Dems are able to defy recent local elections and poll as well as they did in 2010, and pulled out his phone to check what everybody already knows, that a lot of homes in the constituency are being advertised on estate agents’ website for more than £2 million. Then there were unnamed people in the street looking at flashcard pictures of Miliband and revulsing, before a studio chat in which the New Statesman’s Anoosh Chakelian was on hand to list more reasons why the Labour leader wasn’t connecting with voters – chiefly that he thinks leadership is more or less the overseeing of an intellectual dinner party – and to out Tulip as a party functionary.

Tulip’s rivals should get a tape of it, hire some jumbotron TV screens and play it on repeat next to the South End Green fountain, on the Kilburn High Road and outside the Waitrose in Swiss Cottage. She has always managed to navigate press traps quite well, but this one was one-up for Simon. The more people the Tories can convince that the difference here really is still only 42 votes, the better chance he will have.

It’s on the iPlayer for another 20 days if you want to judge for yourselves.  

 

Enter your email address to follow this blog and receive notifications of new posts by email.

4 Comments on The BBC report that the Tories will wish they could play on repeat

  1. There was also no mention of the Ashcroft polling showing Labour are well ahead in the seat now:

    http://lordashcroftpolls.com/2015/01/hampstead-kilburn/

    Not to mention the bookies which make them overwhelming favourites there. It seemed like an odd choice of seat for them to focus on.

    Like

  2. “in between, for good measure, the Beeb’s reporter repeatedly mentioned the slim majority, which of course may only be relevant if the Lib Dems are able to defy recent local elections and poll as well as they did in 2010”

    Hmm! Some of us have short memories, how dropping 13 seats from 2006 to 2010 can be described as defying recent polls I find difficult to understand, and one of those thirteen being marched off by the Coppers for benefit fraud?

    On Mansion Tax It seems to me that Red Ed and the bookies need to get out a little more and in particular take a look around the local estate agents windows in the constituency, plus looking at our local papers property pages. The odds may just change a little if they did!

    Like

    • Richard Osley // February 18, 2015 at 10:52 am // Reply

      You’ve not read it properly, Chris. The decline in support at local elections for the Lib Dems is not disputed. But the point is, the Tories actually need a healthy Lib Dem vote here to hold up – as more switchers will vote Labour or Green, than Conservative. Let’s put it this way, if you are angry that the Lib Dems went into coalition with the Conservatives, are you really going to protest by voting… Conservative? If Lib Dems are wiped out like in the council elections, Simon’s chances will take a hit. That’s why you need them to defy recent polling.

      Like

  3. Thanks Richard, but I for one don’t necessarily agree on your view on where switchers will place their votes, died in the wool Lib Dems are switching to the Conservatives simply because they hate Mansion Tax.
    Its also a must to remember that the demographic of H&K is changing rapidly as the constituency is becoming very much more upwardly mobile.! Local elections are one thing Generals are another any politician worth his or her salt will tell you that.

    We currently have a very competent Government that has brought:

    Low inflation.
    Jobless totals lowest for years
    Great economic outlook, best in Europe
    No property tax

    Why vote Labour or Green?

    We’ll see come the day.

    Like

Leave a comment

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: